2026年10月18日 星期日
甘肃省人工固沙林碳汇评估与预测
Carbon sink assessment and prediction of artificial sand-fixing forests in Gansu Province
2026年 第35卷 第5期 页码[86-94]    下载全文[0.9MB]  

摘要

 基于林草湿荒数据和第三次全国国土调查成果,结合样地调查和CBP(Carbon Benefits Project)模型,定量评估甘肃人工固沙林的碳储量和碳汇量,并预测其碳汇潜力。结果显示:当前,甘肃省人工固沙林总碳储量达2.76×107 t,其中,土壤碳储量占比97.46%,且以无机碳为主导。甘肃省人工固沙林植被碳汇量为6.27×105 t,碳汇价值为1.92×108元;土壤有机碳汇量为3.00×106 t,碳汇价值为9.21×108元;土壤无机碳汇量为1.34×107 t,碳汇价值为4.11×109元;土壤碳汇量为1.64×107 t,碳汇价值为5.03×109元;总碳汇量为1.70×107 t,总碳汇价值为5.22×109元。以植被恢复年限45 a为基准,CBP模型估算甘肃省人工固沙林有机碳汇量为3.01×106 t,与实测值(3.63×106 t)偏差17.08%,模型估算结果可靠。预测至第七期“三北”工程结束(2050年),甘肃省人工固沙林总碳汇量达1.83×108 t,总碳汇价值5.61×1010元,在空间上集中于酒泉市、武威市和张掖市。研究结果显示:营造人工固沙林是助力干旱区经济发展和增强碳汇功能的双效策略。

 

Abstract

Based on the forest-grassland-wetland-desert dataset and the Third National Land Survey results, combined with plot surveys and the CBP (Carbon Benefits Project) model, the carbon stock and carbon sink capacity of artificial sand-fixing forests in Gansu Province were quantitatively assessed, and their carbon sink potential was predicted. The results show that currently, the total carbon stock of artificial sand-fixing forests in Gansu Province reaches 2.76×107 t, among which soil carbon stock accounts for 97.46%, dominated by inorganic carbon. The vegetation carbon sink capacity of artificial sand-fixing forests in Gansu Province is 6.27×105 t, with carbon sink value of 1.92×108 yuan; the soil organic carbon sink capacity is 3.00×106 t, with carbon sink value of 9.21×108 yuan; the soil inorganic carbon sink capacity is 1.34×107 t, with carbon sink value of 4.11×109 yuan; the soil carbon sink capacity is 1.64×107 t, with carbon sink value of 5.03×109 yuan; the total carbon sink capacity is 1.70×107 t, with a total carbon sink value of 5.22×109 yuan. Using a vegetation restoration period of 45 a as the baseline, the CBP model estimates the organic carbon sink capacity of artificial sand-fixing forests in Gansu Province to be 3.01×106 t, exhibiting a deviation of 17.08% from the measured value (3.63×106 t), indicating high reliability of the model prediction result. It is predicted that by the end of the seventh phase of the Three-North Shelterbelt Program (in 2050), the total carbon sink capacity of artificial sand-fixing forests in Gansu Province will reach 1.83×108 t, with a total carbon sink value of 5.61×1010 yuan, spatially concentrated in Jiuquan City, Wuwei City, and Zhangye City. It is suggested that establishing artificial sand-fixing forests is a dual-effect strategy for promoting economic development in arid regions and enhancing carbon sink function.

 

关键词人工固沙林; 碳汇量; 碳汇价值; 碳汇潜力; CBP(Carbon Benefits Project)模型; 甘肃省
Key wordsartificial sandfixing forest; carbon sink capacity; carbon sink value; carbon sink potential; Carbon Benefits Project (CBP) model; Gansu Province
作者石林奇1,2, 马全林1,2, 王新友3, 马瑞2, 魏林源4, 段晓峰4, 陈芳4
所在单位1. 甘肃省林业科学研究院, 甘肃 兰州 730010; 2. 甘肃农业大学林学院, 甘肃 兰州 730070;3. 甘肃开放大学, 甘肃 兰州 730030; 4. 甘肃省治沙研究所, 甘肃 兰州 733099
点击量211
下载次数234
基金项目国家自然科学基金项目(32160410); 国家重点研发计划项目(2024YFD2201100); 甘肃省重点研发专项(24YFFA040); 甘肃省草原生态修复治理科技支撑项目(LCJ20210028); 甘肃省防沙治沙科技创新项目(2023-ZS-01)